Oregon
Most states with strict isolation policies had high mortality, but not all of them. Oregon is an example, with no significant increase in mortality despite strict social isolation and solitary confinement policies. However, it is still surprising to see no increased mortality given the usual very large number of "cases" of covid-19 that all states experienced.
The Oregon lack of mortality is similar to states that did not ever issue stay-at-home orders and had milder social isolation policies such as South Dakota and Iowa. However, Iowa and South Dakota were harshly criticized by the media and by isolation advocates such as Anthony Fauci and Scott Gottlieb (Czachor 2021, Jones 2021, Lenz 2021, Mayer 2021).
Briand provides a graph like the one above for all 50 US States plus New York City, showing weekly deaths with lines of different colors for each year. The green line shows weekly mortality for Oregon from August 2019 to August 2020. Below are links to the graphs for each of the seven states that never issued stay-at-home orders, with comments under each one about their lack of increase over prior years, similar to the one above for Oregon: Arkansas, Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming.
There are some reasons Oregon may have avoided the negative effects of the viral containment and solitary confinement protocols. It was ranked #4 out of the 50 states in affordable senior living and healthcare (Wong 2016), and may also have had successful interventions to limit the long-term care understaffing crisis. This crisis affected elder care facilities throughout the world, sometimes extremely severely such as in New York City and New Jersey.
Oregon had a moderate rise in weekly deaths in the summer of 2020, at the far right of the graph. Briand and Rancourt et al both document that there was a marked increase in deaths from suicides, drug overdoses, and homicides in summer 2020, as shown in Briand's graph of US mortality from non-natural causes, which is a significant factor in the anomalous summer increases seen in many states and in Canada. The same pattern is also seen in California where a late summer rise coincided with increased deaths from non-natural causes such as drug overdoses and suicides.
Most states with strict isolation policies had high mortality, but not all of them. Oregon is an example, with no significant increase in mortality despite strict social isolation and solitary confinement policies. However, it is still surprising to see no increased mortality given the usual very large number of "cases" of covid-19 that all states experienced.
The Oregon lack of mortality is similar to states that did not ever issue stay-at-home orders and had milder social isolation policies such as South Dakota and Iowa. However, Iowa and South Dakota were harshly criticized by the media and by isolation advocates such as Anthony Fauci and Scott Gottlieb (Czachor 2021, Jones 2021, Lenz 2021, Mayer 2021).
Briand provides a graph like the one above for all 50 US States plus New York City, showing weekly deaths with lines of different colors for each year. The green line shows weekly mortality for Oregon from August 2019 to August 2020. Below are links to the graphs for each of the seven states that never issued stay-at-home orders, with comments under each one about their lack of increase over prior years, similar to the one above for Oregon: Arkansas, Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming.
There are some reasons Oregon may have avoided the negative effects of the viral containment and solitary confinement protocols. It was ranked #4 out of the 50 states in affordable senior living and healthcare (Wong 2016), and may also have had successful interventions to limit the long-term care understaffing crisis. This crisis affected elder care facilities throughout the world, sometimes extremely severely such as in New York City and New Jersey.
Oregon had a moderate rise in weekly deaths in the summer of 2020, at the far right of the graph. Briand and Rancourt et al both document that there was a marked increase in deaths from suicides, drug overdoses, and homicides in summer 2020, as shown in Briand's graph of US mortality from non-natural causes, which is a significant factor in the anomalous summer increases seen in many states and in Canada. The same pattern is also seen in California where a late summer rise coincided with increased deaths from non-natural causes such as drug overdoses and suicides.